Sunday, September 27, 2009

9/27 Tropical Cyclone Warning for Shipping - Page2RSS

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Bulletin issued at 04:00 HKT 27/Sep/2009
September 26, 2009 at 4:36 pm

Bulletin issued at 04:00 HKT 27/Sep/2009

At 261800 UTC, Tropical Storm Ketsana (0916) with central pressure 990 hectopascals was centred within 90 nautical miles of one five point four degrees north (15.4 N) one one eight point two degrees east (118.2 E) and is forecast to move west at about 12 knots for the next 24 hours.Maximum winds near the centre are estimated to be 40 knots.Radius of over 33 knot winds 90 nautical miles.Forecast position and intensity at 271800 UTCOne five point seven degrees north (15.7 N)One one three point six degrees east (113.6 E)Maximum winds 50 knots.Forecast position and intensity at 281800 UTCOne six point one degrees north (16.1 N)One one one point two degrees east (111.2 E)Maximum winds 60 knots.Forecast position and intensity at 291800 UTCOne seven point three degrees north (17.3 N)One zero seven point seven degrees east (107.7 E)

Bulletin issued at 13:00 HKT 26/Sep/2009
September 26, 2009 at 2:16 am

Bulletin issued at 13:00 HKT 26/Sep/2009

Tropical Cyclone Warning

At 260300 UTC, Tropical Storm Ketsana (0916) with central pressure 994 hectopascals was centred within 90 nautical miles of one five point five degrees north (15.5 N) one two two point one degrees east (122.1 E) and is forecast to move west at about 14 knots for the next 24 hours.

Maximum winds near the centre are estimated to be 35 knots.

Radius of over 33 knot winds 60 nautical miles.
Radius of over 2 metre waves 180 nautical miles.

Forecast position and intensity at 270300 UTC
One five point nine degrees north (15.9 N)
One one six point five degrees east (116.5 E)
Maximum winds 45 knots.

Forecast position and intensity at 280300 UTC
One five point eight degrees north (15.8 N)
One one three point eight degrees east (113.8 E)
Maximum winds 55 knots.

Forecast position and intensity at 290300 UTC
One six point five degrees north (16.5 N)
One one zero point nine degrees east (110.9 E)
Maximum winds 65 knots.

The Hong Kong Observatory's tropical cyclone warnings for shipping are issued about two hours after the time of observation. They incorporate additional information derived from surface and upper-air data and may therefore be slightly different from the real-time satellite or radar-based positions given in the hourly bulletins for public. Average errors in the 24, 48 and 72-hour forecast positions are of the order of 150, 250 and 350 kilometres respectively.
 

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